Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARL-22
in Mexico
12 Oct 2022 03 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KARL-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (14 Oct 00:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
    Landfall between
    14 Oct 2022 00:00 - 14 Oct 2022 12:00
    in Mexico

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 83 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      83 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 5.1 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 11 Oct 2022 21:00 83 2.7 million No people Mexico
        Green 2 12 Oct 2022 03:00 83 5.1 million No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 11 Oct 2022 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.6, -94.4
          GREEN
          		 2 12 Oct 2022 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 12000 people 20.5, -94.9
          GREEN
          		 2 12 Oct 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21, -95.3
          GREEN
          		 2 13 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.4, -95.6
          GREEN
          		 2 13 Oct 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 460000 people 21.1, -95.9
          GREEN
          		 2 14 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 2.5 million people 20.2, -96.2
          GREEN
          		 2 14 Oct 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 3 million people 19.4, -96.6 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 2 15 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 19.1, -97.1 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Mexico 5 million people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Veracruz Mexico 4.7 million people
          Puebla Mexico 78000 people
          Tabasco Mexico 210000 people

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Veracruz Veracruz Mexico Major city 560000 people
          Alvarado Veracruz Mexico City 21000 people
          Misantla Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
          Tiacotalpan Veracruz Mexico City -
          Catemaco Veracruz Mexico City 24000 people
          San Andrés Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City -
          Santiago Tuxtla Veracruz Mexico City 16000 people
          Jalapa Veracruz Mexico Major city -
          Coatepec Veracruz Mexico City 48000 people
          Teocelo Veracruz Mexico City 9200 people
          Huatuxco Veracruz Mexico City -
          Coatzacoalcos Veracruz Mexico City 230000 people
          Coscomatepec Veracruz Mexico City 13000 people
          Córdoba Veracruz Mexico City 130000 people
          Cosoleacaque Veracruz Mexico City 20000 people
          Minatitlán Veracruz Mexico City 150000 people
          Orizaba Veracruz Mexico City 120000 people
          Nogales Veracruz Mexico City 20000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Las Bajadas VER 29 Civ. Paved Yes 7800
          Lerdo de Tejada 40 0
          El Lencero JAL 875 Civ. Paved No 5500
          Minatitlan MTT 40 Civ. Paved Yes 6800
          Minatitlan Old 27 0
          Cordoba 911 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Vera Cruz MXVER Mexico
          Alvarado MXAVD Mexico
          Rabon Grande Mexico
          Coatzacoalcos MXCOA Mexico
          Nanchital MXNAN Mexico
          Dos Bocas MXDBT Mexico
          Minatitlan MXMTT Mexico

          Nuclear plants

          Name Country Reactors
          LAGUNA VERDE MEXICO 2
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Kopernik Shores, United States. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (201 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 12 Oct 2022 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.5
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Boca Chica United States  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 South Padre Island United States  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Palacios United States  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Holly Beach United States  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Port Isabel United States  0.4
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Galveston United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Nadeau United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Texas City United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Virginia Point United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Fort Travis United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Flake United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Elmgrove United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Spanish Village United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Estes United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Quintana United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 08:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 07:00 La Mata Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Rockport United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Copano Village United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Fulton United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Freeport United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Hoskins United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Mims United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Port Morris United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Sea Isle United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Hoskins United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Port Aransas United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Surfside United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 00:00 Yarborough United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 06:00 Majahual Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Patton United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 09:00 El Tular Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Gilchrist United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 High Island United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Caplen United States  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 19:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Matagorda United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Chinquapin United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Gulf Park United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 05:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Nautla Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 La Majada Mexico  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 17:00 Champoton Mexico  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 17:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.3
          12 Oct 2022 17:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.3
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 La Presita Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 01:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 04:00 Calderas Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 16:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 16:00 Constance Beach United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 16:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Cameron United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Laja Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 13:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Oak Grove United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 04:00 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 04:00 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Tonala Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 17:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Hilda United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Gautier United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Pascagoula United States  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 15:00 Breton United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 14:00 West Point United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 00:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 14:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 14:00 Boothville United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 14:00 Duvic United States  0.2
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 01:00 Celestum Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Calderita Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Leeville United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 07:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 00:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 00:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 01:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 01:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 14:00 Sunrise United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 14:00 Buras United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 09:00 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
          11 Oct 2022 23:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 10:00 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 13:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 01:00 Sisal Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Coden United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 12:00 Nelson United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Heron Bay United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Alabama Port United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 14:00 Ostrica United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 14:00 Neptune United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 07:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Eden Isle United States  0.1
          15 Oct 2022 00:00 Howze Beach United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 00:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 04:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
          13 Oct 2022 02:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Gulf Highlands United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Cedar Grove United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Gasque United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Magnolia Springs United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Oyster Bay United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Bon Secaur United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Oak United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Gulf Shores United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 09:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 11:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 03:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 02:00 Grand Isle United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 14:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
          12 Oct 2022 02:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1
          14 Oct 2022 08:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1